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Defense Stocks for the Next 5 Years: Palantir or RTX?

October 27, 2026 · by alexmoreno

Defense stocks are having a moment, and two names keep showing up in the same conversation: Palantir (PLTR) and RTX Corporation (RTX). Same industry theme, completely different companies — and honestly, this comparison is a great lesson in why “what sector is it in?” is one of the least useful questions you can ask about a stock. 📈

Here’s the setup. Global defense spending is rising. Governments around the world are increasing military budgets, and that money has to go somewhere — missiles, jets, radar systems, and increasingly, software. Palantir and RTX both benefit from that trend, but they sit at opposite ends of what “defense investing” actually means.

So let’s break down what each one actually is, why people are excited about them, and what you should think about before putting either one in a portfolio.

## What Palantir actually does

Palantir is a software company. Its platforms help governments — defense departments, intelligence agencies — and large companies make sense of massive amounts of data. Think of it less like a weapons manufacturer and more like the analytics brain that helps an organization figure out what’s happening and what to do about it.

The bull case here is straightforward: AI and data analytics are becoming central to modern military operations, and Palantir is one of the most visible names in that space. Governments signing software contracts is a real, growing business — this isn’t a purely speculative story. The company has actual customers, actual revenue, and actual government relationships that took years to build.

Now the part that requires some care: Palantir has also been one of the most talked-about retail stocks of the last couple of years. If a ticker is all over your feed, that’s technically information — but it’s not fundamental analysis. 📱

Here’s the key concept for this kind of stock: **valuation**, which is basically the question of how much you’re paying for each dollar of the company’s earnings or revenue. One common measure is the **P/E ratio** — the price of the stock divided by the company’s earnings per share. A high P/E means investors are paying a premium, usually because they expect fast growth. Palantir has traded at a valuation that prices in a *lot* of continued success.

That’s not automatically wrong. Companies growing quickly sometimes justify premium prices. But it means the stock has less room for error. If growth is merely “good” instead of “spectacular,” the stock can fall even when the business is doing fine. A great company and a great stock price are not the same thing — you can pay luxury-brand prices for a hoodie, and the hoodie doesn’t change.

Another thing to understand: Palantir’s stock price reflects expectations that are already baked in. When a stock has already run up significantly, a big chunk of the good news may be “priced in” — meaning the current price already assumes the company keeps winning. Buying at that point isn’t wrong, but you’re not buying the past success. You’re betting the future exceeds what everyone else is already assuming.

## What RTX actually does

RTX is the opposite flavor of defense investing. It’s a massive, established aerospace and defense company — the result of the Raytheon-United Technologies merger — that builds missiles, air defense systems, aircraft components, and jet engines through its Pratt & Whitney division.

The bull case for RTX is boring in the best way. Governments sign long-term contracts. Backlogs — the pile of confirmed future orders — stretch out for years. Defense budgets are rising globally, and RTX products are embedded in systems that governments keep buying and maintain for decades. If you own RTX, you’re basically owning a toll booth on global defense spending.

You’ll also hear the term **dividend yield** around stocks like this — that’s the annual dividend payment divided by the stock price, expressed as a percentage. Established defense contractors typically pay dividends, which is part of why they appeal to investors who want income along with growth. Palantir, like many younger tech companies, has historically focused on reinvesting rather than paying dividends.

The trade-off? Growth. RTX is a huge company, which means it grows like a huge company — steadily, not spectacularly. Its revenue growth is tied to defense budgets and aerospace demand, which are real but not exponential. You’re trading upside potential for stability and, historically